Ganho na expectativa de vida com a exclusão dos óbitos por causas externas na Paraíba: uma aplicação da Tábua de Múltiplos Decrementos.

Abstract

The evolution of mortality from external causes is quite significant, indicated as a type of avoidable cause and expressed mainly in the form of accidents or violence of the most varied types. Within this context, this research sought to analyze the impact of this type of cause on the life expectancy at birth by sex, with the exclusion of external causes, either in its entirety or only by transport accidents and homicides, of the risk of death of Paraíba’s population in 2015. For this purpose, data from the Mortality Information System of the Ministry of Health and population projections from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics were used. The applied method was the competitive risk model proposed by Chiang in 1968, applied in the Multiple Decrease Life Table. As main results, it was found that if transport accidents and homicides had not been the cause of death, there would be an increase of 3.29 years for males and 0.43 years for females. In the total exclusion of external causes, the gains were 3.92 and 0.68 years, respectively, for men and women. Concluding the magnitude of the action of this type of cause in the male mortality.