A exportação de soja do Brasil para a China: implicações no pós-pandemia da Covid-19

Abstract

Soy stands out for its dynamism, importance, and prominence in the agribusiness sector. Brazil is the world's largest exporter and producer, while China leads as the largest soy importer. Consequently, both countries maintain a prolific relationship, not only in terms of trade but specifically in the soy sector. These positions do not exempt them from the consequences that the soy market faces in a global scenario marked by unpredictable challenges, such as the crisis triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic. It is in this context that this work aims to investigate soybean exports from Brazil to China in the post-Covid-19 pandemic context. To do so, it uses the theoretical framework of Complex Interdependence developed by Robert Keohane and Joseph Nye in the field of International Relations, connecting it with the proposed theme. Through descriptive qualitative research, the deductive hypothetical method is intended to be used by interpreting quantitative data on Brazilian soybean exports to the Chinese market in three stages: pre-pandemic, pandemic, and post-pandemic Covid-19. The research strategy aims to investigate the effects and implications of this economic activity, highlighting the influence of both the pre-pandemic and the Covid-19 pandemic in an amplified way to analyze the post-pandemic scenario. Finally, the influence of the Trade War between China and the United States, as well as African Swine Fever in China, will be addressed as factors influencing the performance of Brazil’s soybean export activities to China during the Covid-19 Pandemic period, in order to analyze the implications of this situation in the post-pandemic Covid-19