O Sistema de Seleção Unificado (SISU): o efeito sobre os indicadores educacionais e a politica de bonificação da Universidade Federal da Paraíba

Abstract

This work is divided into two chapters. In the first chapter, the aim is to evaluate the impact of SISU on university educational indicators, using detailed administrative and student data for the period from 2010 to 2016. The results indicate that, over time, participation in SISU increased dropout rates by an average of 8% to 13.54 percentage points, depending on the control group used. However, SISU had no effect on graduation rates or on university performance in the ENADE exam. In the second chapter, the effects of the bonus policy implemented by UFPB during the 2022 SISU selection process are investigated, evaluating its influence on student approval, course choice, and average scores among those who completed high school in Paraíba. The analysis uses SISU microdata to construct two datasets: the first is used for a simulation, and the second for estimation with longitudinal data on the candidates. The results show that, in the 2022 selection process, the bonus increased the probability of approval for beneficiaries by 13.1 percentage points. Moreover, 41.22% of approved candidates were directly benefited by the bonus, and it was observed that students who received the bonus tended to apply for courses with higher cutoff scores. To carry out the estimations, both chapters employ the Difference-in- Differences methodology. In the first chapter, this approach was used to capture effects over multiple time periods.