Impactos dos subsídios sobre as exportações dos complexos soja e suco de laranja do Brasil: abordagem pela teoria dos jogos.

Abstract

Brazil and the United States are considered great participants in the world market of the soybean and of the orange juice. The objective of this research is to analyze the influence of the American agricultural subsidies on the exports of the soybean and orange juice complex of Brazil, in the period between 1990 and 2006. The theoretical model to study the international trade was proposed by Brander and Spencer, with focus of imperfect competition incorporating the government intervention. In the empiric approach, he took place a junction of models of temporary series and of theory of the games, as instruments to evaluate the effect of the subsidies on the exports of those commodities. The conclusion of research is that the American protection harmed the capacity exporter of Brazil in that examined period. As conclusion is reinforced the participation activates of Brazil in the defense of the liberalization of the agricultural trade, for his access to the protected section and, also for the conquest of new trading partners.