Estudo de previsão de demanda para um empreendimento que segue princípios da economia solidária

Abstract

Faced with the uncertainties about products demand and the challenges of making the best decision in the production management, was needed to use the forecasting demand at the snack bar as a tool to assist in decision-making about when and how much to produce, when and how much to buy the raw material. This case study was carried out in a cafeteria that follows the principles of Solidarity Economy. This work presents, for the data obtained, the possible forecasting methods in time series that can be applied, and after analysis, choose the best method for the studied products. The analysis of these data will allow prioritizing the product to be produced and the best technique to be implemented, which in the presented situation, demonstrated that the use of the Simple Moving Average model was satisfactory for all the products analyzed. For the next steps, it is suggested to replicate the studies carried out for the other products in the snack bar.