Papel dos fatores políticos na decisão dos gastos com esporte e lazer nos municípios entre 2002 e 2016: evidências para as regiões Sul e Sudeste do Brasil

Abstract

The objective of this work is to evaluate the evolution of spending in the Sports and Leisure Function (FDL) between 2002 and 2016 in the municipalities of the south and southeast regions of Brazil, based on the theory of electoral political cycles. In addition, it aims to identify how economic and social factors relevant to the municipal sphere affect spending on public policies of sport and leisure. The analysis consists of an unbalanced panel, because it relaxed the continued spending record because it is a non-mandatory schedule, which allows inaction. Data from the Secretariat of the National Treasury, IBGE, TBI and other sources were used in conjunction with a multiple regression model with fixed-effect panel data. The results show the influence of few political factors for FDL during the analyzed series. The number of municipalities and spending flow over time has been increasing, but it is not an agenda skewed for political reasons. In addition, it was perceived that only re-elected mayors were more intended to provide greater space for sport and leisure in the budget. Regarding economic factors, a greater share in the GDP of the regions evaluated contributed to an increase in the spending rate. However, the dependence on resources via transfers produced a reduction in the FDL spending rate by 0.002 percentage points in relation to municipal current revenue.